Teams
Every Purdue season on record, 1896-97 to 2024-25, sorted by strength measure within tier. The tier label (A/B for 1985-present ratings, C for the pre-1985 estimate) is shown prominently because the strength measures are not on the same scale across tiers - see the methodology page before comparing across tiers.
All-time seasons
| Season | Coach | Record | B1G record | B1G finish | Tier | Strength measure | Rank in field | Accomplishment | B1G title | NCAA seed | NCAA result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1896-97 | F. Homer Curtis | 1-1 | - | - | C | - | - | 1.00 | False | - | - |
| 1899-00 | Alpha Jamison | 0-1 | - | - | C | - | - | 0.00 | False | - | - |
| 1900-01 | Alpha Jamison | 12-0 | - | - | C | - | - | 12.00 | False | - | - |
| 1901-02 | Charles Best | 10-3 | - | - | C | - | - | 10.00 | False | - | - |
| 1902-03 | C.I. Freeman | 8-0 | - | - | C | - | - | 8.00 | False | - | - |
| 1903-04 | - | 11-2 | - | - | C | - | - | 11.00 | False | - | - |
| 1904-05 | James L. Nufer | 3-6 | - | - | C | - | - | 3.00 | False | - | - |
| 1905-06 | C.B. Jamison | 4-7 | 3-6 | - | C | - | - | 7.00 | False | - | - |
| 1906-07 | C.B. Jamison | 7-8 | 2-5 | #4 | C | -1.01 | - | 9.00 | False | - | - |
| 1907-08 | C.B. Jamison | 5-9 | 2-9 | #5 | C | -2.85 | - | 7.00 | False | - | - |
| 1908-09 | E.J. Stewart | 8-4 | 6-4 | #2 | C | -0.01 | - | 14.00 | False | - | - |
| 1909-10 | Ralph Jones | 8-5 | 5-5 | #5 | C | 0.56 | - | 13.00 | False | - | - |
| 1910-11 | Ralph Jones | 12-4 | 8-4 | #1 | C | 0.24 | - | 29.00 | True | - | - |
| 1911-12 | Ralph Jones | 12-0 | 10-0 | - | C | 2.38 | - | 31.00 | True | - | - |
| 1912-13 | R.E. Vaughn | 7-5 | 6-5 | #4 | C | -0.09 | - | 13.00 | False | - | - |
| 1913-14 | R.E. Vaughn | 5-9 | 3-9 | #7 | C | -0.33 | - | 8.00 | False | - | - |
| 1914-15 | R.E. Vaughn | 5-8 | 4-8 | #6 | C | -0.85 | - | 9.00 | False | - | - |
| 1915-16 | R.E. Vaughn | 4-10 | 2-10 | #9 | C | -1.05 | - | 6.00 | False | - | - |
| 1916-17 | Ward Lambert | 11-3 | 7-2 | #3 | C | -0.25 | - | 18.00 | False | - | - |
| 1917-18 | J.J. Maloney | 11-5 | 5-5 | #6 | C | 0.42 | - | 16.00 | False | - | - |
| 1918-19 | Ward Lambert | 6-8 | 4-7 | #8 | C | 0.10 | - | 10.00 | False | - | - |
| 1919-20 | Ward Lambert | 16-4 | 8-2 | #2 | C | 2.15 | - | 24.00 | False | - | - |
| 1920-21 | Ward Lambert | 13-7 | 8-4 | #3 | C | -0.04 | - | 30.00 | True | - | - |
| 1921-22 | Ward Lambert | 15-3 | 8-1 | #1 | C | 0.31 | - | 32.00 | True | - | - |
| 1922-23 | Ward Lambert | 9-6 | 7-5 | #5 | C | 0.06 | - | 16.00 | False | - | - |
| 1923-24 | Ward Lambert | 12-5 | 7-5 | #5 | C | -0.75 | - | 19.00 | False | - | - |
| 1924-25 | Ward Lambert | 9-5 | 7-4 | #4 | C | -0.07 | - | 16.00 | False | - | - |
| 1925-26 | Ward Lambert | 13-4 | 8-4 | #1 | C | -0.39 | - | 30.00 | True | - | - |
| 1926-27 | Ward Lambert | 12-5 | 9-3 | #3 | C | -0.47 | - | 21.00 | False | - | - |
| 1927-28 | Ward Lambert | 15-2 | 10-2 | #2 | C | 1.55 | - | 34.00 | True | - | - |
| 1928-29 | Ward Lambert | 13-4 | 9-3 | #3 | C | 1.08 | - | 22.00 | False | - | - |
| 1929-30 | Ward Lambert | 13-2 | 10-0 | #1 | C | 1.56 | - | 32.00 | True | - | - |
| 1930-31 | Ward Lambert | 12-5 | 8-4 | #4 | C | 0.64 | - | 20.00 | False | - | - |
| 1931-32 | Ward Lambert | 17-1 | 11-1 | #1 | C | 1.55 | - | 37.00 | True | - | - |
| 1932-33 | Ward Lambert | 11-7 | 6-6 | #6 | C | 0.51 | - | 17.00 | False | - | - |
| 1933-34 | Ward Lambert | 17-3 | 10-2 | #1 | C | 2.60 | - | 36.00 | True | - | - |
| 1934-35 | Ward Lambert | 17-3 | 9-3 | #1 | C | 1.02 | - | 35.00 | True | - | - |
| 1935-36 | Ward Lambert | 16-4 | 11-1 | #2 | C | 1.10 | - | 36.00 | True | - | - |
| 1936-37 | Ward Lambert | 15-5 | 8-4 | #4 | C | 1.40 | - | 23.00 | False | - | - |
| 1937-38 | Ward Lambert | 18-2 | 10-2 | #1 | C | 0.47 | - | 37.00 | True | - | - |
| 1938-39 | Ward Lambert | 12-7 | 6-6 | #5 | C | -0.12 | - | 18.00 | False | - | - |
| 1939-40 | Ward Lambert | 16-4 | 10-2 | #1 | C | 1.04 | - | 35.00 | True | - | - |
| 1940-41 | Ward Lambert | 13-7 | 6-6 | #6 | C | -0.37 | - | 19.00 | False | - | - |
| 1941-42 | Ward Lambert | 14-7 | 9-6 | #6 | C | 0.54 | - | 23.00 | False | - | - |
| 1942-43 | Ward Lambert | 9-11 | 6-6 | #5 | C | -0.19 | - | 15.00 | False | - | - |
| 1943-44 | Ward Lambert | 11-10 | 8-4 | #5 | C | 0.98 | - | 19.00 | False | - | - |
| 1944-45 | Ward Lambert | 9-11 | 6-6 | #4 | C | -0.77 | - | 15.00 | False | - | - |
| 1945-46 | Ward Lambert | 7-7 | 2-4 | #8 | C | -0.10 | - | 14.00 | False | - | - |
| 1945-46 | Mel Taube | 3-4 | 2-4 | #8 | C | -0.10 | - | 14.00 | False | - | - |
| 1946-47 | Mel Taube | 9-11 | 4-8 | #8 | C | -1.08 | - | 13.00 | False | - | - |
| 1947-48 | Mel Taube | 11-9 | 6-6 | #5 | C | -0.69 | - | 17.00 | False | - | - |
| 1948-49 | Mel Taube | 13-9 | 6-6 | #6 | C | -0.84 | - | 19.00 | False | - | - |
| 1949-50 | Mel Taube | 9-13 | 3-9 | #9 | C | -1.32 | - | 13.00 | False | - | - |
| 1950-51 | Ray Eddy | 8-14 | 4-10 | #8 | C | -1.17 | - | 12.00 | False | - | - |
| 1951-52 | Ray Eddy | 8-14 | 3-11 | #10 | C | -1.58 | - | 11.00 | False | - | - |
| 1952-53 | Ray Eddy | 4-18 | 3-15 | #10 | C | -1.94 | - | 7.00 | False | - | - |
| 1953-54 | Ray Eddy | 9-13 | 3-11 | #10 | C | -1.70 | - | 12.00 | False | - | - |
| 1954-55 | Ray Eddy | 12-10 | 5-9 | #6 | C | -0.72 | - | 17.00 | False | - | - |
| 1955-56 | Ray Eddy | 16-6 | 9-5 | #4 | C | -0.32 | - | 25.00 | False | - | - |
| 1956-57 | Ray Eddy | 15-7 | 8-6 | #5 | C | -0.41 | - | 23.00 | False | - | - |
| 1957-58 | Ray Eddy | 14-8 | 9-5 | #3 | C | -0.10 | - | 23.00 | False | - | - |
| 1958-59 | Ray Eddy | 15-7 | 8-6 | #4 | C | 0.18 | - | 23.00 | False | - | - |
| 1959-60 | Ray Eddy | 11-12 | 6-8 | #7 | C | -0.37 | - | 17.00 | False | - | - |
| 1960-61 | Ray Eddy | 16-7 | 10-4 | #3 | C | -0.12 | - | 26.00 | False | - | - |
| 1961-62 | Ray Eddy | 17-7 | 9-5 | #3 | C | 0.00 | - | 26.00 | False | - | - |
| 1962-63 | Ray Eddy | 7-17 | 2-12 | #10 | C | -1.54 | - | 9.00 | False | - | - |
| 1963-64 | Ray Eddy | 12-12 | 8-6 | #5 | C | -0.33 | - | 20.00 | False | - | - |
| 1964-65 | Ray Eddy | 12-12 | 5-9 | #7 | C | -1.44 | - | 17.00 | False | - | - |
| 1965-66 | George King | 8-16 | 4-10 | #10 | C | -1.56 | - | 12.00 | False | - | - |
| 1966-67 | George King | 15-9 | 7-7 | #5 | C | -0.33 | - | 22.00 | False | - | - |
| 1967-68 | George King | 15-9 | 9-5 | #3 | C | 0.75 | - | 24.00 | False | - | - |
| 1968-69 | George King | 23-5 | 13-1 | #1 | C | 1.92 | - | 68.02 | True | - | L |
| 1969-70 | George King | 18-6 | 11-3 | #2 | C | 1.35 | - | 29.00 | False | - | - |
| 1970-71 | George King | 18-7 | 11-3 | #3 | C | 0.39 | - | 29.60 | False | - | - |
| 1971-72 | George King | 12-12 | 6-8 | #7 | C | -0.59 | - | 18.00 | False | - | - |
| 1972-73 | Fred Schaus | 15-9 | 8-6 | #3 | C | -0.70 | - | 23.00 | False | - | - |
| 1973-74 | Fred Schaus | 21-9 | 10-4 | #3 | C | 0.57 | - | 32.10 | False | - | - |
| 1974-75 | Fred Schaus | 17-11 | 11-7 | #4 | C | 0.58 | - | 28.00 | False | - | - |
| 1975-76 | Fred Schaus | 16-11 | 11-7 | #3 | C | 0.55 | - | 27.00 | False | - | - |
| 1976-77 | Fred Schaus | 19-9 | 13-5 | #2 | C | 0.74 | - | 32.73 | False | - | L |
| 1977-78 | Fred Schaus | 16-11 | 11-7 | #5 | C | 0.34 | - | 27.00 | False | - | - |
| 1978-79 | Lee Rose | 27-8 | 13-5 | #2 | C | 0.40 | - | 41.50 | True | - | - |
| 1979-80 | Lee Rose | 23-10 | 11-7 | #3 | C | -0.16 | - | 42.42 | False | - | W |
| 1980-81 | Gene Keady | 21-11 | 10-8 | #4 | C | -0.43 | - | 27.00 | False | - | - |
| 1981-82 | Gene Keady | 18-14 | 11-7 | #5 | C | -0.48 | - | 25.00 | False | - | - |
| 1982-83 | Gene Keady | 21-9 | 11-7 | #2 | C | -0.43 | - | 31.38 | False | - | L |
| 1983-84 | Gene Keady | 22-7 | 15-3 | #2 | C | 0.44 | - | 41.45 | True | - | L |
| 1984-85 | Gene Keady | 20-9 | 11-7 | #6 | A/B | 1.52 | #20 | 31.40 | False | Z06 | L |
| 1985-86 | Gene Keady | 22-10 | 11-7 | #6 | A/B | 1.56 | #24 | 34.40 | False | Y06 | L |
| 1986-87 | Gene Keady | 25-5 | 15-3 | #4 | A/B | 2.01 | #9 | 44.21 | True | W03 | L |
| 1987-88 | Gene Keady | 29-4 | 16-2 | #1 | A/B | 2.25 | #3 | 53.82 | True | X01 | L |
| 1988-89 | Gene Keady | 15-16 | 8-10 | #5 | A/B | 1.50 | #22 | 23.50 | False | - | - |
| 1989-90 | Gene Keady | 22-8 | 13-5 | #1 | A/B | 1.83 | #10 | 35.21 | False | X02 | L |
| 1990-91 | Gene Keady | 17-12 | 9-9 | #4 | A/B | 1.06 | #42 | 26.42 | False | W07 | L |
| 1991-92 | Gene Keady | 18-15 | 8-10 | #7 | A/B | 1.01 | #52 | 24.50 | False | - | - |
| 1992-93 | Gene Keady | 18-10 | 9-9 | #6 | A/B | 1.16 | #40 | 29.92 | False | W09 | L |
| 1993-94 | Gene Keady | 29-5 | 14-4 | #1 | A/B | 2.10 | #4 | 54.40 | True | X01 | L |
| 1994-95 | Gene Keady | 25-7 | 15-3 | #2 | A/B | 1.39 | #25 | 45.81 | True | Y03 | L |
| 1995-96 | Gene Keady | 26-6 | 15-3 | #1 | A/B | 1.76 | #12 | 46.31 | True | Z01 | L |
| 1996-97 | Gene Keady | 18-12 | 12-6 | #7 | A/B | 1.17 | #42 | 30.31 | False | X08 | L |
| 1997-98 | Gene Keady | 28-8 | 12-4 | #1 | A/B | 2.01 | #7 | 43.55 | False | Y02 | L |
| 1998-99 | Gene Keady | 21-13 | 7-9 | #7 | A/B | 1.25 | #31 | 33.05 | False | W10 | L |
| 1999-00 | Gene Keady | 24-10 | 12-4 | #6 | A/B | 1.68 | #21 | 42.36 | False | Z06 | L |
| 2000-01 | Gene Keady | 17-15 | 6-10 | #8 | A/B | 1.13 | #42 | 21.50 | False | - | - |
| 2001-02 | Gene Keady | 13-18 | 5-11 | #8 | A/B | 0.55 | #86 | 18.00 | False | - | - |
| 2002-03 | Gene Keady | 19-11 | 10-6 | #4 | A/B | 1.53 | #22 | 29.84 | False | X09 | L |
| 2003-04 | Gene Keady | 17-14 | 7-9 | #5 | A/B | 0.97 | #59 | 27.50 | False | - | - |
| 2004-05 | Gene Keady | 7-21 | 3-13 | #8 | A/B | 0.37 | #118 | 10.00 | False | - | - |
| 2005-06 | Matt Painter | 9-19 | 3-13 | #11 | A/B | -0.02 | #161 | 12.00 | False | - | - |
| 2006-07 | Matt Painter | 22-12 | 9-7 | #5 | A/B | 1.49 | #31 | 33.38 | False | Y09 | L |
| 2007-08 | Matt Painter | 25-9 | 15-3 | #4 | A/B | 1.45 | #31 | 40.88 | False | Z06 | L |
| 2008-09 | Matt Painter | 27-10 | 11-7 | #2 | A/B | 1.72 | #19 | 47.21 | False | Z05 | L |
| 2009-10 | Matt Painter | 29-6 | 14-4 | #2 | A/B | 1.73 | #14 | 51.21 | True | X04 | L |
| 2010-11 | Matt Painter | 26-8 | 14-4 | #2 | A/B | 1.99 | #10 | 40.89 | False | Z03 | L |
| 2011-12 | Matt Painter | 22-13 | 10-8 | #6 | A/B | 1.34 | #30 | 33.89 | False | X10 | L |
| 2012-13 | Matt Painter | 16-18 | 8-10 | #9 | A/B | 0.83 | #73 | 25.00 | False | - | - |
| 2013-14 | Matt Painter | 15-17 | 5-13 | #11 | A/B | 0.67 | #91 | 21.50 | False | - | - |
| 2014-15 | Matt Painter | 21-13 | 12-6 | #6 | A/B | 1.15 | #48 | 35.96 | False | Y09 | L |
| 2015-16 | Matt Painter | 26-9 | 12-6 | #3 | A/B | 1.88 | #14 | 45.97 | False | X05 | L |
| 2016-17 | Matt Painter | 27-8 | 14-4 | #1 | A/B | 1.90 | #16 | 49.80 | True | Y04 | L |
| 2017-18 | Matt Painter | 30-7 | 15-3 | #1 | A/B | 2.13 | #4 | 53.30 | False | W02 | L |
| 2018-19 | Matt Painter | 26-10 | 16-4 | #3 | A/B | 2.22 | #9 | 52.11 | True | Z03 | L |
| 2019-20 | Matt Painter | 16-15 | 9-11 | #10 | A/B | 1.46 | #31 | 27.50 | False | - | - |
| 2020-21 | Matt Painter | 18-10 | 13-6 | #6 | A/B | 1.49 | #29 | 31.98 | False | Z04 | L |
| 2021-22 | Matt Painter | 29-8 | 14-6 | #2 | A/B | 1.89 | #14 | 48.37 | False | W03 | L |
| 2022-23 | Matt Painter | 29-6 | 15-5 | #1 | A/B | 1.93 | #12 | 53.98 | True | W01 | L |
| 2023-24 | Matt Painter | 34-5 | 17-3 | #1 | A/B | 2.53 | #2 | 73.44 | True | Y01 | W |
| 2024-25 | Matt Painter | 24-12 | 13-7 | #4 | A/B | 1.99 | #15 | 38.91 | False | X04 | L |
Most impressive wins
| Season | Date | Opponent | Margin | Expected margin | Residual | Opp. rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 2020-01-12 | Michigan St | 29.0 | -1.6 | 30.6 | #6 |
| 2020 | 2020-02-05 | Iowa | 36.0 | 2.3 | 33.7 | #25 |
| 2004 | 2003-11-29 | Duke | 10.0 | -13.3 | 23.3 | #1 |
| 2024 | 2023-11-06 | Samford | 53.0 | 15.5 | 37.5 | #69 |
| 1985 | 1985-01-30 | Illinois | 20.0 | -1.3 | 21.3 | #3 |
| 2024 | 2024-03-24 | Utah St | 39.0 | 10.0 | 29.0 | #47 |
| 2013 | 2013-03-02 | Wisconsin | 13.0 | -10.5 | 23.5 | #16 |
| 2025 | 2025-01-24 | Michigan | 27.0 | 4.5 | 22.5 | #18 |
| 1989 | 1989-03-09 | Ohio St | 30.0 | 4.4 | 25.6 | #24 |
| 2025 | 2025-01-12 | Nebraska | 36.0 | 9.4 | 26.6 | #49 |
| 1988 | 1987-12-20 | Kansas St | 29.0 | 8.1 | 20.9 | #12 |
| 1990 | 1990-01-31 | Michigan | 18.0 | -3.1 | 21.1 | #17 |
| 2003 | 2003-03-21 | LSU | 24.0 | 0.7 | 23.3 | #27 |
| 2023 | 2022-11-25 | Gonzaga | 18.0 | -0.7 | 18.7 | #7 |
| 2007 | 2007-02-07 | Michigan St | 24.0 | 2.6 | 21.4 | #19 |
| 2011 | 2011-02-19 | Ohio St | 13.0 | -1.9 | 14.9 | #1 |
| 2019 | 2019-03-02 | Ohio St | 35.0 | 10.8 | 24.2 | #44 |
| 2011 | 2010-12-28 | Michigan | 23.0 | 1.0 | 22.0 | #31 |
| 1996 | 1996-01-31 | Michigan | 21.0 | -0.9 | 21.9 | #27 |
| 1994 | 1994-01-22 | Ohio St | 38.0 | 12.6 | 25.4 | #45 |
| 1996 | 1996-01-03 | Iowa | 24.0 | 4.4 | 19.6 | #19 |
| 2018 | 2017-11-24 | Arizona | 25.0 | 4.7 | 20.3 | #27 |
| 2020 | 2019-12-04 | Virginia | 29.0 | 5.4 | 23.6 | #50 |
| 2001 | 2000-12-18 | Santa Clara | 46.0 | 9.9 | 36.1 | #108 |
| 2013 | 2013-03-09 | Minnesota | 16.0 | -3.1 | 19.1 | #20 |
Worst losses
| Season | Date | Opponent | Margin | Expected margin | Residual | Opp. rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1985 | 1985-03-02 | Illinois | -43.0 | -8.4 | -34.6 | #3 |
| 2013 | 2013-01-30 | Indiana | -37.0 | -8.3 | -28.7 | #3 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-23 | Kansas | -32.0 | -3.3 | -28.7 | #6 |
| 1987 | 1987-03-07 | Michigan | -36.0 | -0.5 | -35.5 | #15 |
| 1992 | 1992-01-28 | Indiana | -41.0 | -17.6 | -23.4 | #1 |
| 2015 | 2014-12-20 | Notre Dame | -31.0 | -6.6 | -24.4 | #10 |
| 2004 | 2004-02-29 | Wisconsin | -36.0 | -12.0 | -24.0 | #7 |
| 2010 | 2010-03-13 | Minnesota | -27.0 | 2.7 | -29.7 | #33 |
| 1998 | 1997-12-30 | Michigan St | -17.0 | 4.9 | -21.9 | #11 |
| 2022 | 2022-02-10 | Michigan | -24.0 | 1.2 | -25.2 | #27 |
| 2006 | 2005-11-29 | Florida St | -40.0 | -13.5 | -26.5 | #35 |
| 2007 | 2007-01-10 | Indiana | -27.0 | -5.3 | -21.7 | #15 |
| 1999 | 1999-01-19 | Ohio St | -29.0 | -9.7 | -19.3 | #10 |
| 1987 | 1987-03-15 | Florida | -19.0 | -0.9 | -18.1 | #6 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-05 | Illinois | -26.0 | -2.7 | -23.3 | #34 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-09 | Nebraska | -16.0 | 5.6 | -21.6 | #28 |
| 2011 | 2011-03-11 | Michigan St | -18.0 | 6.0 | -24.0 | #46 |
| 2011 | 2011-03-20 | VCU | -18.0 | 6.1 | -24.1 | #48 |
| 2011 | 2011-01-25 | Ohio St | -23.0 | -8.4 | -14.6 | #1 |
| 1997 | 1996-12-30 | TCU | -28.0 | -3.2 | -24.8 | #51 |
| 2000 | 1999-12-18 | Ball St | -20.0 | 5.7 | -25.7 | #52 |
| 1989 | 1989-02-20 | Illinois | -27.0 | -12.5 | -14.5 | #3 |
| 2019 | 2018-12-01 | Michigan | -19.0 | -3.7 | -15.3 | #7 |
| 2009 | 2008-12-02 | Duke | -16.0 | 0.6 | -16.6 | #7 |
| 2001 | 2001-02-10 | Illinois | -21.0 | -6.3 | -14.7 | #5 |
Weighting test
The rating model's weighting scheme was chosen by testing several candidate weightings against actual game outcomes across decades; see the methodology page for how to read log-loss and accuracy here.
| Scheme | Decade | N | Accuracy | Log-loss | Margin RMSE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| conference | 1980s | 315 | 70.5% | 0.529 | 10.15 |
| conference | 1990s | 630 | 73.5% | 0.526 | 11.36 |
| conference | 2000s | 639 | 73.4% | 0.510 | 10.78 |
| conference | 2010s | 667 | 70.6% | 0.554 | 11.23 |
| conference | 2020s | 334 | 71.0% | 0.577 | 12.10 |
| conference | pooled | 2,585 | 72.0% | 0.536 | 11.14 |
| recency | 1980s | 315 | 70.5% | 0.529 | 10.16 |
| recency | 1990s | 630 | 73.3% | 0.526 | 11.37 |
| recency | 2000s | 639 | 72.6% | 0.511 | 10.79 |
| recency | 2010s | 667 | 70.3% | 0.554 | 11.21 |
| recency | 2020s | 334 | 70.7% | 0.576 | 12.09 |
| recency | pooled | 2,585 | 71.7% | 0.536 | 11.14 |
| recency_postseason | 1980s | 315 | 70.5% | 0.529 | 10.16 |
| recency_postseason | 1990s | 630 | 73.3% | 0.526 | 11.37 |
| recency_postseason | 2000s | 639 | 72.6% | 0.510 | 10.79 |
| recency_postseason | 2010s | 667 | 70.5% | 0.554 | 11.20 |
| recency_postseason | 2020s | 334 | 71.0% | 0.576 | 12.09 |
| recency_postseason | pooled | 2,585 | 71.8% | 0.536 | 11.14 |
| recency_postseason_uncapped | 1980s | 315 | 72.7% | 0.538 | 10.36 |
| recency_postseason_uncapped | 1990s | 630 | 71.9% | 0.531 | 11.30 |
| recency_postseason_uncapped | 2000s | 639 | 73.6% | 0.511 | 10.76 |
| recency_postseason_uncapped | 2010s | 667 | 69.6% | 0.559 | 11.31 |
| recency_postseason_uncapped | 2020s | 334 | 69.5% | 0.585 | 12.05 |
| recency_postseason_uncapped | pooled | 2,585 | 71.5% | 0.541 | 11.16 |
| unweighted | 1980s | 315 | 70.8% | 0.529 | 10.15 |
| unweighted | 1990s | 630 | 73.5% | 0.526 | 11.36 |
| unweighted | 2000s | 639 | 72.6% | 0.510 | 10.79 |
| unweighted | 2010s | 667 | 70.3% | 0.553 | 11.23 |
| unweighted | 2020s | 334 | 70.7% | 0.578 | 12.10 |
| unweighted | pooled | 2,585 | 71.8% | 0.536 | 11.15 |
Tier C calibration
The pre-1985 Tier C strength measure was calibrated by choosing the smoothing parameter k that best correlates with the post-1985 rating_z on the seasons where both exist.
| k | Spearman rho vs rating_z | p-value | N seasons |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00 | 0.825 | 0.000 | 41 |
| 5.00 | 0.844 | 0.000 | 41 |
| 10.00 | 0.848 | 0.000 | 41 |
| 15.00 | 0.826 | 0.000 | 41 |
| 20.00 | 0.757 | 0.000 | 41 |
| raw_margin_only | 0.810 | 0.000 | 41 |