Old Gold Standard

Teams

Every Purdue season on record, 1896-97 to 2024-25, sorted by strength measure within tier. The tier label (A/B for 1985-present ratings, C for the pre-1985 estimate) is shown prominently because the strength measures are not on the same scale across tiers - see the methodology page before comparing across tiers.

A 1950s vibrating tabletop basketball game: tiny plastic figurines in old gold and black and in white jitter across a small metal court under lamp light, a miniature hoop on a post at each end.
Teams, tabletop edition.

All-time seasons

Every Purdue season, 1896-97 to 2024-25, sorted by strength measure within tier
SeasonCoachRecordB1G recordB1G finishTierStrength measureRank in fieldAccomplishmentB1G titleNCAA seedNCAA result
1896-97F. Homer Curtis1-1--C--1.00False--
1899-00Alpha Jamison0-1--C--0.00False--
1900-01Alpha Jamison12-0--C--12.00False--
1901-02Charles Best10-3--C--10.00False--
1902-03C.I. Freeman8-0--C--8.00False--
1903-04-11-2--C--11.00False--
1904-05James L. Nufer3-6--C--3.00False--
1905-06C.B. Jamison4-73-6-C--7.00False--
1906-07C.B. Jamison7-82-5#4C-1.01-9.00False--
1907-08C.B. Jamison5-92-9#5C-2.85-7.00False--
1908-09E.J. Stewart8-46-4#2C-0.01-14.00False--
1909-10Ralph Jones8-55-5#5C0.56-13.00False--
1910-11Ralph Jones12-48-4#1C0.24-29.00True--
1911-12Ralph Jones12-010-0-C2.38-31.00True--
1912-13R.E. Vaughn7-56-5#4C-0.09-13.00False--
1913-14R.E. Vaughn5-93-9#7C-0.33-8.00False--
1914-15R.E. Vaughn5-84-8#6C-0.85-9.00False--
1915-16R.E. Vaughn4-102-10#9C-1.05-6.00False--
1916-17Ward Lambert11-37-2#3C-0.25-18.00False--
1917-18J.J. Maloney11-55-5#6C0.42-16.00False--
1918-19Ward Lambert6-84-7#8C0.10-10.00False--
1919-20Ward Lambert16-48-2#2C2.15-24.00False--
1920-21Ward Lambert13-78-4#3C-0.04-30.00True--
1921-22Ward Lambert15-38-1#1C0.31-32.00True--
1922-23Ward Lambert9-67-5#5C0.06-16.00False--
1923-24Ward Lambert12-57-5#5C-0.75-19.00False--
1924-25Ward Lambert9-57-4#4C-0.07-16.00False--
1925-26Ward Lambert13-48-4#1C-0.39-30.00True--
1926-27Ward Lambert12-59-3#3C-0.47-21.00False--
1927-28Ward Lambert15-210-2#2C1.55-34.00True--
1928-29Ward Lambert13-49-3#3C1.08-22.00False--
1929-30Ward Lambert13-210-0#1C1.56-32.00True--
1930-31Ward Lambert12-58-4#4C0.64-20.00False--
1931-32Ward Lambert17-111-1#1C1.55-37.00True--
1932-33Ward Lambert11-76-6#6C0.51-17.00False--
1933-34Ward Lambert17-310-2#1C2.60-36.00True--
1934-35Ward Lambert17-39-3#1C1.02-35.00True--
1935-36Ward Lambert16-411-1#2C1.10-36.00True--
1936-37Ward Lambert15-58-4#4C1.40-23.00False--
1937-38Ward Lambert18-210-2#1C0.47-37.00True--
1938-39Ward Lambert12-76-6#5C-0.12-18.00False--
1939-40Ward Lambert16-410-2#1C1.04-35.00True--
1940-41Ward Lambert13-76-6#6C-0.37-19.00False--
1941-42Ward Lambert14-79-6#6C0.54-23.00False--
1942-43Ward Lambert9-116-6#5C-0.19-15.00False--
1943-44Ward Lambert11-108-4#5C0.98-19.00False--
1944-45Ward Lambert9-116-6#4C-0.77-15.00False--
1945-46Ward Lambert7-72-4#8C-0.10-14.00False--
1945-46Mel Taube3-42-4#8C-0.10-14.00False--
1946-47Mel Taube9-114-8#8C-1.08-13.00False--
1947-48Mel Taube11-96-6#5C-0.69-17.00False--
1948-49Mel Taube13-96-6#6C-0.84-19.00False--
1949-50Mel Taube9-133-9#9C-1.32-13.00False--
1950-51Ray Eddy8-144-10#8C-1.17-12.00False--
1951-52Ray Eddy8-143-11#10C-1.58-11.00False--
1952-53Ray Eddy4-183-15#10C-1.94-7.00False--
1953-54Ray Eddy9-133-11#10C-1.70-12.00False--
1954-55Ray Eddy12-105-9#6C-0.72-17.00False--
1955-56Ray Eddy16-69-5#4C-0.32-25.00False--
1956-57Ray Eddy15-78-6#5C-0.41-23.00False--
1957-58Ray Eddy14-89-5#3C-0.10-23.00False--
1958-59Ray Eddy15-78-6#4C0.18-23.00False--
1959-60Ray Eddy11-126-8#7C-0.37-17.00False--
1960-61Ray Eddy16-710-4#3C-0.12-26.00False--
1961-62Ray Eddy17-79-5#3C0.00-26.00False--
1962-63Ray Eddy7-172-12#10C-1.54-9.00False--
1963-64Ray Eddy12-128-6#5C-0.33-20.00False--
1964-65Ray Eddy12-125-9#7C-1.44-17.00False--
1965-66George King8-164-10#10C-1.56-12.00False--
1966-67George King15-97-7#5C-0.33-22.00False--
1967-68George King15-99-5#3C0.75-24.00False--
1968-69George King23-513-1#1C1.92-68.02True-L
1969-70George King18-611-3#2C1.35-29.00False--
1970-71George King18-711-3#3C0.39-29.60False--
1971-72George King12-126-8#7C-0.59-18.00False--
1972-73Fred Schaus15-98-6#3C-0.70-23.00False--
1973-74Fred Schaus21-910-4#3C0.57-32.10False--
1974-75Fred Schaus17-1111-7#4C0.58-28.00False--
1975-76Fred Schaus16-1111-7#3C0.55-27.00False--
1976-77Fred Schaus19-913-5#2C0.74-32.73False-L
1977-78Fred Schaus16-1111-7#5C0.34-27.00False--
1978-79Lee Rose27-813-5#2C0.40-41.50True--
1979-80Lee Rose23-1011-7#3C-0.16-42.42False-W
1980-81Gene Keady21-1110-8#4C-0.43-27.00False--
1981-82Gene Keady18-1411-7#5C-0.48-25.00False--
1982-83Gene Keady21-911-7#2C-0.43-31.38False-L
1983-84Gene Keady22-715-3#2C0.44-41.45True-L
1984-85Gene Keady20-911-7#6A/B1.52#2031.40FalseZ06L
1985-86Gene Keady22-1011-7#6A/B1.56#2434.40FalseY06L
1986-87Gene Keady25-515-3#4A/B2.01#944.21TrueW03L
1987-88Gene Keady29-416-2#1A/B2.25#353.82TrueX01L
1988-89Gene Keady15-168-10#5A/B1.50#2223.50False--
1989-90Gene Keady22-813-5#1A/B1.83#1035.21FalseX02L
1990-91Gene Keady17-129-9#4A/B1.06#4226.42FalseW07L
1991-92Gene Keady18-158-10#7A/B1.01#5224.50False--
1992-93Gene Keady18-109-9#6A/B1.16#4029.92FalseW09L
1993-94Gene Keady29-514-4#1A/B2.10#454.40TrueX01L
1994-95Gene Keady25-715-3#2A/B1.39#2545.81TrueY03L
1995-96Gene Keady26-615-3#1A/B1.76#1246.31TrueZ01L
1996-97Gene Keady18-1212-6#7A/B1.17#4230.31FalseX08L
1997-98Gene Keady28-812-4#1A/B2.01#743.55FalseY02L
1998-99Gene Keady21-137-9#7A/B1.25#3133.05FalseW10L
1999-00Gene Keady24-1012-4#6A/B1.68#2142.36FalseZ06L
2000-01Gene Keady17-156-10#8A/B1.13#4221.50False--
2001-02Gene Keady13-185-11#8A/B0.55#8618.00False--
2002-03Gene Keady19-1110-6#4A/B1.53#2229.84FalseX09L
2003-04Gene Keady17-147-9#5A/B0.97#5927.50False--
2004-05Gene Keady7-213-13#8A/B0.37#11810.00False--
2005-06Matt Painter9-193-13#11A/B-0.02#16112.00False--
2006-07Matt Painter22-129-7#5A/B1.49#3133.38FalseY09L
2007-08Matt Painter25-915-3#4A/B1.45#3140.88FalseZ06L
2008-09Matt Painter27-1011-7#2A/B1.72#1947.21FalseZ05L
2009-10Matt Painter29-614-4#2A/B1.73#1451.21TrueX04L
2010-11Matt Painter26-814-4#2A/B1.99#1040.89FalseZ03L
2011-12Matt Painter22-1310-8#6A/B1.34#3033.89FalseX10L
2012-13Matt Painter16-188-10#9A/B0.83#7325.00False--
2013-14Matt Painter15-175-13#11A/B0.67#9121.50False--
2014-15Matt Painter21-1312-6#6A/B1.15#4835.96FalseY09L
2015-16Matt Painter26-912-6#3A/B1.88#1445.97FalseX05L
2016-17Matt Painter27-814-4#1A/B1.90#1649.80TrueY04L
2017-18Matt Painter30-715-3#1A/B2.13#453.30FalseW02L
2018-19Matt Painter26-1016-4#3A/B2.22#952.11TrueZ03L
2019-20Matt Painter16-159-11#10A/B1.46#3127.50False--
2020-21Matt Painter18-1013-6#6A/B1.49#2931.98FalseZ04L
2021-22Matt Painter29-814-6#2A/B1.89#1448.37FalseW03L
2022-23Matt Painter29-615-5#1A/B1.93#1253.98TrueW01L
2023-24Matt Painter34-517-3#1A/B2.53#273.44TrueY01W
2024-25Matt Painter24-1213-7#4A/B1.99#1538.91FalseX04L

Most impressive wins

Most impressive wins (top 25 by impressiveness)
SeasonDateOpponentMarginExpected marginResidualOpp. rank
20202020-01-12Michigan St29.0-1.630.6#6
20202020-02-05Iowa36.02.333.7#25
20042003-11-29Duke10.0-13.323.3#1
20242023-11-06Samford53.015.537.5#69
19851985-01-30Illinois20.0-1.321.3#3
20242024-03-24Utah St39.010.029.0#47
20132013-03-02Wisconsin13.0-10.523.5#16
20252025-01-24Michigan27.04.522.5#18
19891989-03-09Ohio St30.04.425.6#24
20252025-01-12Nebraska36.09.426.6#49
19881987-12-20Kansas St29.08.120.9#12
19901990-01-31Michigan18.0-3.121.1#17
20032003-03-21LSU24.00.723.3#27
20232022-11-25Gonzaga18.0-0.718.7#7
20072007-02-07Michigan St24.02.621.4#19
20112011-02-19Ohio St13.0-1.914.9#1
20192019-03-02Ohio St35.010.824.2#44
20112010-12-28Michigan23.01.022.0#31
19961996-01-31Michigan21.0-0.921.9#27
19941994-01-22Ohio St38.012.625.4#45
19961996-01-03Iowa24.04.419.6#19
20182017-11-24Arizona25.04.720.3#27
20202019-12-04Virginia29.05.423.6#50
20012000-12-18Santa Clara46.09.936.1#108
20132013-03-09Minnesota16.0-3.119.1#20

Worst losses

Worst losses (bottom 25 by impressiveness)
SeasonDateOpponentMarginExpected marginResidualOpp. rank
19851985-03-02Illinois-43.0-8.4-34.6#3
20132013-01-30Indiana-37.0-8.3-28.7#3
20172017-03-23Kansas-32.0-3.3-28.7#6
19871987-03-07Michigan-36.0-0.5-35.5#15
19921992-01-28Indiana-41.0-17.6-23.4#1
20152014-12-20Notre Dame-31.0-6.6-24.4#10
20042004-02-29Wisconsin-36.0-12.0-24.0#7
20102010-03-13Minnesota-27.02.7-29.7#33
19981997-12-30Michigan St-17.04.9-21.9#11
20222022-02-10Michigan-24.01.2-25.2#27
20062005-11-29Florida St-40.0-13.5-26.5#35
20072007-01-10Indiana-27.0-5.3-21.7#15
19991999-01-19Ohio St-29.0-9.7-19.3#10
19871987-03-15Florida-19.0-0.9-18.1#6
20202020-01-05Illinois-26.0-2.7-23.3#34
20242024-01-09Nebraska-16.05.6-21.6#28
20112011-03-11Michigan St-18.06.0-24.0#46
20112011-03-20VCU-18.06.1-24.1#48
20112011-01-25Ohio St-23.0-8.4-14.6#1
19971996-12-30TCU-28.0-3.2-24.8#51
20001999-12-18Ball St-20.05.7-25.7#52
19891989-02-20Illinois-27.0-12.5-14.5#3
20192018-12-01Michigan-19.0-3.7-15.3#7
20092008-12-02Duke-16.00.6-16.6#7
20012001-02-10Illinois-21.0-6.3-14.7#5

Weighting test

The rating model's weighting scheme was chosen by testing several candidate weightings against actual game outcomes across decades; see the methodology page for how to read log-loss and accuracy here.

Weighting-test results by scheme and decade
SchemeDecadeNAccuracyLog-lossMargin RMSE
conference1980s31570.5%0.52910.15
conference1990s63073.5%0.52611.36
conference2000s63973.4%0.51010.78
conference2010s66770.6%0.55411.23
conference2020s33471.0%0.57712.10
conferencepooled2,58572.0%0.53611.14
recency1980s31570.5%0.52910.16
recency1990s63073.3%0.52611.37
recency2000s63972.6%0.51110.79
recency2010s66770.3%0.55411.21
recency2020s33470.7%0.57612.09
recencypooled2,58571.7%0.53611.14
recency_postseason1980s31570.5%0.52910.16
recency_postseason1990s63073.3%0.52611.37
recency_postseason2000s63972.6%0.51010.79
recency_postseason2010s66770.5%0.55411.20
recency_postseason2020s33471.0%0.57612.09
recency_postseasonpooled2,58571.8%0.53611.14
recency_postseason_uncapped1980s31572.7%0.53810.36
recency_postseason_uncapped1990s63071.9%0.53111.30
recency_postseason_uncapped2000s63973.6%0.51110.76
recency_postseason_uncapped2010s66769.6%0.55911.31
recency_postseason_uncapped2020s33469.5%0.58512.05
recency_postseason_uncappedpooled2,58571.5%0.54111.16
unweighted1980s31570.8%0.52910.15
unweighted1990s63073.5%0.52611.36
unweighted2000s63972.6%0.51010.79
unweighted2010s66770.3%0.55311.23
unweighted2020s33470.7%0.57812.10
unweightedpooled2,58571.8%0.53611.15

Tier C calibration

The pre-1985 Tier C strength measure was calibrated by choosing the smoothing parameter k that best correlates with the post-1985 rating_z on the seasons where both exist.

Tier C calibration: correlation with rating_z by choice of k
kSpearman rho vs rating_zp-valueN seasons
0.000.8250.00041
5.000.8440.00041
10.000.8480.00041
15.000.8260.00041
20.000.7570.00041
raw_margin_only0.8100.00041